Best European Roulette Strategy

Introduction

• Best European Roulette Strategy Rules
• Best European Roulette Strategy Games Pc
• Best European Roulette Strategy Sites

The Gambler's Fallacy is the mistaken belief that if an independent event has not happened in a long time, then it becomes overdue and more likely. It is also equally incorrect that if an outcome has happened a disproportionate number of times lately, compared to statistical expectations, then it becomes overheated and less likely to occur the next time. An example of this fallacious thinking might be that if the number 23 hasn't been drawn in a 6-49 lottery the last 100 games, then it becomes more likely to be drawn during the next drawing.

Many worthless betting strategies and systems are based on belief in the Gambler's Fallacy. I got the idea for writing about this after reading an 888 online roulette article by Frank Scoblete entitled How to Take Advantage of Roulette Hot Spots. In that article, Scoblete recommends taking a count of each outcome for 3,700 spins in single-zero roulette and 3,800 spins in double-zero roulette in the hunt for 'hot numbers.' Never mind that this would take about 100 hours to make this many observations, assuming the industry standard of 38 spins per hour.

Before going further, let me say that I strongly believe modern roulette wheels made by top brands like Cammegh are extremely precise and any bias would be minuscule compared to the house advantage. Thus, testing a modern roulette for bias would be a total waste of time. Now, testing a 30-year-old hand-me-down wheel in a banana republic might be another story. However, you're on your own if you win a lot of money from said casino and try to leave with it.

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• One of the best European Roulette tips is not to use strategy at all. OK, that might seem weird, but then there are plenty of betting systems around for the getting the most out of your real-money European Roulette games. The most famous roulette system is the Martingale, which has generally been disproved as not working over the short-term.
• Any betting strategy emphasizes the advantage of European roulette, not American. With a straight bet on the number in American roulette, the casino house edge is 5.26%, while in European roulette the casino house edge with a bet on a certain number is twice less and is equal to 2.7%.

That said, if you track 3,800 outcomes in single-zero roulette, the average number of times any number will hit is 3800/38=100. I ran a simulation of over 1.3 trillion spins, counting how many times each number was hit, sorting the outcomes to find the most frequent number and how many times it was observed, and keeping a count of how many times the most frequent number in each simulation was seen.

Always Play European Roulette. Unlike the players in real, land-based casinos, online players have the courtesy of choosing from European and American version of roulette, so you should always choose to play the European version, the one with a single zero wheel, as this one has a very small house edge, i.e.

Hottest Number in 3,800 Spins of Double-Zero Roulette

As a former actuary, I hate to use a layman's term like the 'hottest number,' but that is how gamblers talk so will go with that. That said, following are the results of the count of the hottest number in millions of 3800-spin simulations.

Count of the Hottest Number in 3,800 Spins on Double-Zero Wheel

Here is what the table above means in plain simple English.

• The mean, or average, count of the hottest number is 122.02.
• The median count of the most frequent number is 121. This means that over 50% of time the most frequent number appeared 121 times or less, as well as 121 times or more. This is possible because the probability of 121 observations is in both groups.
• The mode, or most count of the hottest number is 120, which happens 8.29% of the time.
• The 90th percentile is the smallest number such that the probability the count of the hottest number is at least 90% .
• The 95th percentile is the smallest number such that the probability the count of the hottest number is at least 95%.
• The 99th percentile is the smallest number such that the probability the count of the hottest number is at least 99%.
• The 99.9th percentile is the smallest number such that the probability the count of the hottest number is at least 99.9%.

Hottest Number in 3,700 Spins of Single-Zero Roulette

The results are very similar with 3,700 spins tracked on a single-zero wheel. Following is a summary of the results.

Count of the Hottest Number in 3,700 Spins on Single-Zero Wheel

The following table shows the full results of the simulation on both wheels. The two commulative columns show the probability that the count of the hottest number is the number on the left column or more. For example, the probability the hottest number in 3,700 spins of single-zero roulette is 130 or more is 0.072044.

Summary of the Count of the Hottest Number in 3,700 Spins of Single-Zero Roulette and 3,800 spins of Double-Zero Roulette

Count of the Hottest Numbers in 300 Spins in Double-Zero Roulette

What if you don't want to spend 100 hours gathering data on a single wheel? Some casinos are kind enough to give you, on a silver platter, the number of times in the last 300 spins the four 'hottest' and 'coolest' numbers occurred. The image at the top of the page shows an example taken on a double-zero wheel at the Venetian.

In 300 spins, the average number of wins on a double-zero wheel for any number is 300/38=7.9. As you can see from the image above, the four hottest numbers were 20, 5, 29, and 2, which occurred 15, 14, 13, and 12 times respectively. Is this unusual? No. In a simulation of over 80 billion spins, the most frequent number, in 300-spin experiments, appeared most frequently at 14 times with a probability of 27.4%. The most likely total of the second, third, and fourth most frequent numbers was 13, 12, and 12 times respectively, with probabilities of 37.9%, 46.5%, and 45.8%. So the results of the 'hottest' numbers in the image above were a little more flat than average.

The following table shows the probabilities of the four hottest numbers in 300 spins of double-zero roulette. For example, the probability the third most frequent number happens 15 times is 0.009210.

Count of the Hottest Four Numbers in 300 Spins on a Double-Zero Wheel

The next table shows the mean, median, and mode for the count of the first, second, third, and fourth hottest numbers in millions of 300-spin simulations of double-zero roulette.

Summary of the Count of the Four Most Frequent Numbers in 300 Spins of Double-Zero Wheel

Count of the Coolest Numbers in 300 Spins in Double-Zero Roulette

The next table shows the probability of each count of the four collest numbers in 300 spins of double-zero roulette.

Count of the Coolest Four Numbers in 300 Spins on a Double-Zero Wheel

The next table shows the mean, median, and mode for the count of the first, second, third, and fourth coolest numbers in the 300-spin simulations of double-zero roulette.

Summary of the count of the Four Least Frequent Numbers on a Double-Zero Wheel

Count of the Hottest Numbers in 300 Spins of Single-Zero Roulette

In 300 spins, the average number of wins on a single-zero wheel for any number is 300/37=8.11. The next table shows the probability of each count of the four coolest numbers in 300 spins of double-zero roulette. For example, the probability the third most frequent number happens 15 times is 0.015727.

Count of the Hottest Four Numbers in 300 Spins on a Single-Zero Wheel

The next table shows the mean, median, and mode for the count of the first, second, third, and fourth hottest numbers in millions of 300-spin simulations of double-zero roulette.

Summary — Count of the Four Hottest Numbers — Double-Zero Wheel

Count of the Coolest Numbers in 300 Spins in Single-Zero Roulette

The next table shows the probability of each count of the four coolest numbers in 300 spins of double-zero roulette. For example, the probability the third coolest numbers will be observed five times is 0.287435.

Count of the Coolest Four Numbers in 300 Spins on a Double-Zero Wheel

The next table shows the mean, median, and mode for the count of the first, second, third, and fourth coolest numbers in the 300-spin simulations of single-zero roulette.

Summary of the count of the Four Least Frequent Numbers on a Single-Zero Wheel

The least I hope you have learned from this article is it is to be expected that certain numbers will come up more than others. To put it in other words, it is natural that some numbers will be 'hot' and some 'cool.' In fact, such differences from the mean are highly predictable. Unfortunately, for roulette players, we don't know which numbers will be 'hot,' just that some of them almost certainly will be. I would also like to emphasize, contrary to the Gambler's Fallacy, that on a fair roulette wheel that every number is equally likely every spin and it makes no difference what has happened in the past.

Finally, it should not be interpreted that we give an endorsement to the 888 Casino, which we linked to earlier. I am very bothered by this rule in their rule 6.2.B. Before getting to that, let me preface with a quote from rule 6.1, which I'm fine with.

'If we reasonably determine that you are engaging in or have engaged in fraudulent or unlawful activity or conducted any prohibited transaction (including money laundering) under the laws of any jurisdiction that applies to you (examples of which are set out at section 6.2 below), any such act will be considered as a material breach of this User Agreement by you. In such case we may close your account and terminate the User Agreement in accordance with section 14 below and we are under no obligation to refund to you any deposits, winnings or funds in your account.' -- Rule 6.1

Let's go further now:

The following are some examples of 'fraudulent or unlawful activity' -- Rule 6.2

Next, here is one of many examples listed as rule 6.2.B

'Unfair Betting Techniques: Utilising any recognised betting techniques to circumvent the standard house edge in our games, which includes but is not limited to martingale betting strategies, card counting as well as low risk betting in roulette such as betting on red/black in equal amounts.' -- Rule 6.2.B

Let me make it perfectly clear that all betting systems, including the Martingale, not only can't circumvent the house edge, they can't even dent it. It is very mathematically ignorant on the part of the casino to fear any betting system. Why would any player trust this casino when the casino can seize all their money under the reason that the player was using a betting system? Any form of betting could be called a betting system, including flat betting. Casino 888 normally has a pretty good reputation, so I'm surprised they would lower themselves to this kind of rogue rule.

Written by: Michael Shackleford

The Basics of Roulette

Originated in the 17^th century in France, Roulette is one of the most played gambling games across Europe where people bet on numbers and the winner will be decided based on the number that performs on the wheel of Roulette. You can find some find some great free tips for winning roulette here.

What is Roulette?

Basically, Roulette is a wheel which has a spinning wheel. The edges are divided for revolving with the bowl base. Before the wheel is spun, people bet on the numbers with chips at the betting table. The ball eventually falls on any of the numbers of the divisions and the wheel to stop.

Best European Roulette Strategy Rules

The wheel is divided in thirty six parts from numbers one to thirty six. There is no proper sequence for the arrangement of the numbers and they are patterned in black and red. The players can find one green division in the European type with number‘zero’ whereas the American Roulette has two ‘zero’ number divisions. As this casino game originated in France, there are many French terms still used while playing the game. To have a slight variation, the US tables have English terms.

How to Win Roulette?

A simple game to play with simple bets, the colored chips are used to place the bets for playing Roulette. Dissimilar colors distinguish different players. The croupier picks up the ball and spins the wheel, rolling the ball in a direction opposite to wheel. After falling, the ball takes its place in one of the slots and the spinning wheel comes to a stop. The croupier collects the chips of all the players who lose the game and gives away the profit to the winner who has bet the number where the ball has halted.

The outcome while gambling on Roulette appears uncertain. Rather than envisaging or persuading the upshot, it is better that this game is played with Best European Roulette Strategy. The intensity varies with strategies; the less the game is lost, the more it is won.

The Best European Roulette Strategy involves the application of physics as explained at roulettephysics.com.

Best European Roulette Strategy Games Pc

What are the Rules?

There are a few rules that need to be considered while playing Roulette.

The Advantage of the House: The advantage of the House on a table with one zero is only 2.7 per cent whereas the percentage doubles on the double zeroed mat. The player can make profit with this advantage by winning a chip or two.

En Prison: The rule of En Prison is only applied to players who are betting with even money. In this bet, the losing player is provided with two options – he can either take half of his betting money back or play the next round with the remaining money. If the ball spins zero in the second round, he will have to give away the entire cash to the casino. Not all the casinos follow this rule.

La Partage: Akin to the rule of En Prison, La Partage allows the player to take away the remaining cash; he cannot keep it for the next spin. The rule is applicable when the upshot is zero and the even money is an outside bet on High/Low, Red/Black or Odd/Even.

The Stake: Roulette tables are often seen having stakes with maximum and minimum caps. The money that the player cashes for the inside bets (gambling through one to six numbers) must go beyond the minimum cap. On similar lines, the maximum cap deals with the player betting for Straight-up bets.

Best European Roulette Strategy Sites

The chances of the casino to earn even-money are reduced to half with both the rules. The House advantage cuts to 1.35 per cent with the En Prison or the La Partage rule for single zero mat and 2.63 per cent for the double zeroed table.

How are the Payouts?

If the player is betting on one number only, he is making a Straight-up bet. He is paid 35 to 1; 36 with a House advantage, 37 with no House advantage.

Split bet is a bet on two numbers where the play is split and the player is paid 17 to 1.

Street bet is a bet on three numbers where it pays 11 to 1.

The corner bet pays the player from 8 to 1 for betting on four numbers.

Betting on six numbers can give the player an advantage of gaining 5 to 1.

Playing with the column at the outside is paid 2 to 1.

Betting with even money at the outside will pay 1 to 1.

What are the Terms?

The Roulette, as derived from France, has few French terms replaced in English.

French Terms – English Terms

Rouge – Red

Noir – Black

Pair – Even

Impair – Odd

Manque – Low Bet

Passe – High Bet

Premiere Douzaine – First Dozen

MoyenneDouzaine – Middle Dozen

Dernier Douzaine – Last dozen

Colonne – Column Bet

Sixain – Line Bet

Carre – Corner Bet

Transversale – Street Bet

En Chaval – Split Bet

En Plein – Straight Up

Most of the players try opting tricks to win by using their lucky numbers or picking those divisions that occur frequently. There is another set of people that study the game and pick those colors with numbers which have not often shown up. However, there is no Mathematics or no signature moves to play. Following the rules and applying the Best European Roulette Strategy can only influence the gamble.